Chatha kumapeto kwa 2022, voliyumu yonyamula katundu yonyamula katundu idzatenganso ndipo katundu wonyamula katundu adzasiya kugwa. Komabe, zochitika za kumsika chaka chamawa ikadali yodzaza ndi zosatsimikizika. Mitengo ikuyembekezeka kuwongolera "pafupifupi mtengo wosinthika". Pakhala pali mantha chifukwa cha mantha kuyambira ku China chotsani zoletsa pa Disembala. Ntchito pa makampani ogulitsa fakitale adagwa kwambiri ndi gawo lachitatu kumapeto kwa Disembala. Idzatenga pafupifupi miyezi itatu ya kufunika kwapakhomo komanso kunja koyambira magawo awiri mwa magawo atatu a gawo loyambirira.
Kuyambira theka lachiwiri la 2022, mtengo wonyamula katundu wakhala ukuchepa nthawi zonse. Mphamvu zambiri ndi ku Russia-Ukraine zalepheretsa kugula mphamvu ya ku Europe ndi United States, kuphatikizapo voliyumu yopangidwa pang'onopang'ono, ndipo voliyumu yonyamula katundu yatha kwambiri. Kutumiza kuchokera ku Asia kupita ku US adatenga 21% mu Novembala kuyambira chaka chopita ku 1.324,600 teus, kuyambira 18 pa Starsem.
Kuyambira pa Seputembara, kuchepa kwa mavioviyulumila kwa katundu kwa anthu ambiri. Zotumiza zochokera ku Asia kupita ku US zidagwa mwezi wolunjika wa Novembala kuyambira chaka cham'mbuyomu, akuwonetsa kuti scuctiss tikufunafuna. China, chomwe chinali ndi mtengo wapamwamba kwambiri wokweza pamtunda, adawona dontho la 30 peresenti, mwezi wachitatu wopitilira 10 peresenti chifukwa cha nthawi ya coronavirus pang'onopang'ono kupanga ndi kutumiza kunja.
Komabe, pamakhala mafunde othamanga mu msika wonyamula katundu waposachedwa. Kuchuluka kwa katundu wa kutumizidwa kobiriwira ndipo kutumiza ku United States kwabwereranso ku boma lathunthu. Kuphatikiza pa zotsatira za kutumiza musanachitike chikondwerero cha kasupe, kusapezeka kosalekeza kwa China ku China ndi kiyi.
Msika wapadziko lonse lapansi wayamba kukumbatira nyengo yaying'ono ya zotumiza, koma chaka chamawa ikadakhala chaka chovuta. Ngakhale zisonyezo za kuchepa kwa kuchepa kwa zinthu zonyamula katundu zaoneka, ndizovuta kulosera za kubwezeretsanso. Chaka chamawa chidzakhudza kusintha kofunikira kwambiri m'matumbo otumizira, imo ziwiri zatsopano za kaboni
Zonyamula katundu zazikulu zayamba kukhala ndi njira zingapo zothanirana ndi kutsika kwa kuchuluka kwa katundu. Choyamba, ayamba kusintha njira ya dziko la East-East. Maulendo ena asankha kudutsa ngalande ya Suez ndikubwerera ku Cape ya Chiyembekezo chabwino kenako ku Europe. Kusunthika kotereku kungawonjezere masiku 10 nthawi ya ku Asia ndi Europe, kupulumutsa pa Suez Tols ndikuyenda pang'onopang'ono kumayenderana ndi kaboni. Chofunika kwambiri, kuchuluka kwa zombo zofunika kumatha kuwonjezeka, mosazoloweza kuphatikiza mphamvu yatsopano.
1. Kufuna kumakhala kotsika mu 2023: Mitengo ya Hioborne imakhala yotsika komanso yosasunthika
"Mtengo wa mavuto akukhala ukudya ndalama zowononga ndalama, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti zisakhale zothetsa mavuto padziko lonse lapansi, ndipo tikuyembekezera kuchuluka kwa nyanja." Patrik Berglud ananeneratu, "amene anati, ngati vuto lazachuma litayamba kupitirira, zitha kukhala zokulirapo."
Amanenedwa kuti kampani imodzi yotumizira idati ndizovuta kuneneratu za msika wogulitsa zambiri chaka chamawa. Msika wam'mambo wazungulira miyezi ingapo atatsika kwambiri atatsika mtengo wopaka katundu ndi zofuna. "Kuneneratu za bizinesi yonseyi kwakhala kovuta kwambiri mukakumana ndi kusatsimikiza," Kampaniyo inatero.
Anafotokozanso ziwopsezo zingapo kuti: "Mwachitsanzo, nkhondo yopitilira ipita ku Russia, yomwe imagwiritsa ntchito madongosolo a osakhazikika, ndikugwiritsa ntchito madoko aku Spain ndi America." Kupitilira apo, pali mbali zitatu zodetsa nkhawa.
Kugwetsa mitengo yamapulogalamuyi: Scfi Ster Mituyo yomalizidwa kumayambiriro kwa Januwale chaka chino, ndipo patangotha pang'ono, dontho lonse ndi 78% kuyambira koyambirira kwa Januware. Njira ya Shanghai-kumpoto kwa Europe ili pansi 86 peresenti, ndipo Shanghai-Spanish-American trans-Pacific-Pacific Route ali pansi mpaka $ 1,423 pa $ 1,420 Avereji.
Zinthu zimatha kukhala zoyipa kwa imodzi ndi zina zonyamula. Wina amayembekeza kuti azigwiritsa ntchito ndalama zogulira ndi kuchuluka kwamitengo kuti ipitirize kugwera ngati kuchuluka kwake kumayambira pawiri.
Pa zomwe akupeza zikuchitika Mr wina anayankha kuti: "Mamisinikisizika osokoneza bongo. Kampaniyo yadula ndalama zake theka lachiwiri la chaka chake ndikuti kugwira ntchito zopindulitsa zoposa theka ndi theka loyamba ndi lachiwiri la chaka chatha.
2. Mitengo yanthawi yayitali ikupanikizika: mitengo yotumizira ipitiliza kusintha mosintha pang'ono
Kuphatikiza apo, malo owoneka bwino okhala, makampani otumiza akuti mapangano atatsala pang'ono kuphatikizidwa ndi mitengo yotsika. Atafunsidwa ngati makasitomala ake adapempha kuti achepetse mitengo ya mgwirizano, wina anati: "Pamene mgwirizano wapano watsala pang'ono kutha, wina ayamba kukambirana kukonzanso ndi makasitomala."
Kepler Cheuvreux Wosanthula R.karllin adati: "Mitengo ya chaka chamawa ndi mitengo yopanda tanthauzo, ya mgwirizano idzayambanso kukambirana pamlingo wotsika ndipo zonyamula zonyamula zidzasinthira." Alphaliner adawerengera ndalama zotumizira zomwe zimayembekezeredwa kuti zitheke pakati pa 30% ndi 70%, kutengera data yolosera zoyambirira za makampani otumizira.
Kuwonongeka kwa ogula kumatanthauza onyamula tsopano tsopano "kupikisana ndi voliyumu," malinga ndi Xeneseta CEO. Jørgen Lian, katswiri wamkulu pa misika ya DNB, akuneneratu kuti pamsika womwe uli mumsika udzayesedwa mu 2023.
Monga James Hookaham, Purezidenti wa Commundal Counter 'Council Yake Porting Show, omwe adamasulidwa sabata ino
Post Nthawi: Feb-14-2023